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Red220
598772.1
194382.4
563596.5
Blue311
5614105.2
267990.8
1690107.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234304100200400500220311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.52.4
95.292.8
Auto9.8
Teleop37.7
End49.0
blue by 10.9
107.42.1
97.099.1
Auto21.9
Teleop45.0
End40.5
Second
82.42.4
68.165.7
Auto9.0
Teleop39.2
End34.2
blue by 22.8
105.22.1
100.6102.7
Auto10.0
Teleop42.9
End52.3
Third
5987
#19
72.12.4
68.365.9
Auto9.6
Teleop26.9
End35.6
blue by 18.7
90.82.1
81.583.6
Auto8.7
Teleop39.4
End42.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed2%Pressure oddsMissed