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Red136
333990.2
475754.5
157650.0
Blue203
338858.8
221284.3
614969.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210208100150250300350400136203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3339
#11
90.24.2
86.782.5
Auto11.8
Teleop43.1
End35.2
red by 5.9
84.30.3
74.975.3
Auto7.4
Teleop33.8
End43.0
Second
4757
#22
54.54.2
60.556.3
Auto12.1
Teleop26.6
End15.8
blue by 14.6
6149
#14
69.10.3
65.966.2
Auto8.4
Teleop33.5
End27.1
Third
1576
#26
50.04.2
52.548.2
Auto7.1
Teleop30.2
End12.6
blue by 8.8
3388
#15
58.80.3
57.557.8
Auto11.5
Teleop31.0
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed