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Red310
549292.5
396678.6
349485.7
Blue115
314092.6
512551.0
384451.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2841950100400500600700800310115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5492
Unranked
92.50.0
92.592.5
Auto9.3
Teleop43.8
End39.4
blue by 0.1
3140
Unranked
92.60.0
92.692.6
Auto12.6
Teleop42.0
End37.9
Second
3494
Unranked
85.70.0
85.785.7
Auto9.4
Teleop39.8
End36.6
red by 33.8
3844
Unranked
51.90.0
51.951.9
Auto5.1
Teleop31.2
End15.7
Third
3966
Unranked
78.60.0
78.678.6
Auto9.0
Teleop38.4
End31.2
red by 27.6
5125
Unranked
51.00.0
51.051.0
Auto4.6
Teleop27.4
End19.1