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Red95
5022B30.6
384451.9
3844B26.0
Blue170
512551.0
396678.6
381492.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92255020030040050060070095170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3844
Unranked
51.90.0
51.951.9
Auto5.1
Teleop31.2
End15.7
blue by 40.3
3814
Unranked
92.20.0
92.292.2
Auto11.1
Teleop40.2
End40.9
Second
5022B
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto3.0
Teleop14.1
End13.5
blue by 48.0
3966
Unranked
78.60.0
78.678.6
Auto9.0
Teleop38.4
End31.2
Third
3844B
Unranked
26.00.0
26.026.0
Auto2.5
Teleop15.6
End7.8
blue by 25.1
5125
Unranked
51.00.0
51.051.0
Auto4.6
Teleop27.4
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds0%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds