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Red195
278392.5
314092.6
574446.6
Blue220
457684.8
512551.0
384371.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2482140100300400500600195220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3140
Unranked
92.60.0
92.692.6
Auto12.6
Teleop42.0
End37.9
red by 7.8
4576
Unranked
84.80.0
84.884.8
Auto7.4
Teleop31.8
End45.6
Second
2783
Unranked
92.50.0
92.592.5
Auto7.7
Teleop47.7
End37.2
red by 20.8
3843
Unranked
71.80.0
71.871.8
Auto9.9
Teleop34.8
End27.0
Third
5744
Unranked
46.60.0
46.646.6
Auto9.6
Teleop35.2
End1.8
blue by 4.4
5125
Unranked
51.00.0
51.051.0
Auto4.6
Teleop27.4
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor odds0%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds