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Red195
457684.8
463062.3
4265B44.2
Blue165
384451.9
651771.9
574446.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2051750100300400500600700195165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4576
Unranked
84.80.0
84.884.8
Auto7.4
Teleop31.8
End45.6
red by 12.9
6517
Unranked
71.90.0
71.971.9
Auto6.0
Teleop29.3
End36.6
Second
4630
Unranked
62.30.0
62.362.3
Auto6.0
Teleop37.9
End18.3
red by 10.4
3844
Unranked
51.90.0
51.951.9
Auto5.1
Teleop31.2
End15.7
Third
4265B
Unranked
44.20.0
44.244.2
Auto7.4
Teleop26.0
End10.8
blue by 2.5
5744
Unranked
46.60.0
46.646.6
Auto9.6
Teleop35.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor odds0%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds