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Red201
5022B30.6
426588.3
32339.9
Blue260
349485.7
396678.6
549292.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1542900100200400500600700201260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
Unranked
88.30.0
88.388.3
Auto14.8
Teleop52.0
End21.6
blue by 4.2
5492
Unranked
92.50.0
92.592.5
Auto9.3
Teleop43.8
End39.4
Second
323
Unranked
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8
blue by 45.8
3494
Unranked
85.70.0
85.785.7
Auto9.4
Teleop39.8
End36.6
Third
5022B
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto3.0
Teleop14.1
End13.5
blue by 48.0
3966
Unranked
78.60.0
78.678.6
Auto9.0
Teleop38.4
End31.2