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Red455
28194.1
361695.2
3937114.8
Blue322
3478104.5
4587108.4
190271.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320290150200250350400450500455322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#39
114.81.2
113.3114.5
Auto13.4
Teleop56.2
End45.3
red by 6.4
108.41.2
106.2107.4
Auto12.8
Teleop51.7
End44.0
Second
95.21.2
93.694.9
Auto9.1
Teleop46.1
End40.0
blue by 9.3
3478
#15
104.50.8
102.9103.8
Auto14.1
Teleop42.0
End48.4
Third
281
#14
94.11.2
92.693.8
Auto10.4
Teleop37.6
End46.1
red by 22.6
1902
#51
71.50.8
69.970.8
Auto4.5
Teleop41.6
End25.5