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Red170
375351.9
578543.1
586457.7
Blue196
410774.0
142183.6
192737.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1541630100200300400170196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5864
#34
57.70.8
48.247.4
Auto4.8
Teleop22.6
End30.3
blue by 25.9
1421
#18
83.62.8
72.675.4
Auto6.8
Teleop31.4
End45.5
Second
3753
#57
51.90.5
49.048.5
Auto2.1
Teleop32.8
End17.0
blue by 22.1
74.04.7
44.148.8
Auto10.0
Teleop31.3
End32.7
Third
5785
#42
43.10.8
50.149.3
Auto3.3
Teleop24.9
End14.9
red by 5.6
1927
#49
37.54.7
36.841.5
Auto6.5
Teleop33.2
End-2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed