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Red205
606853.6
532529.6
283101.1
Blue210
435352.5
610352.8
36479.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184183140160200220240205210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
283
#13
101.12.0
97.599.5
Auto11.2
Teleop49.3
End40.6
red by 21.6
364
#6
79.52.4
75.978.4
Auto7.8
Teleop36.3
End35.3
Second
6068
#29
53.63.2
50.453.6
Auto5.2
Teleop34.1
End14.3
red by 0.8
6103
#44
52.83.8
49.152.8
Auto3.8
Teleop24.7
End24.4
Third
5325
#60
29.63.2
26.529.6
Auto5.9
Teleop22.2
End1.5
blue by 22.8
4353
#43
52.53.8
48.752.5
Auto4.9
Teleop20.2
End27.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed