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Red202
652949.3
5687123.9
12594.3
Blue475
95100.6
6763110.6
395866.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289286250300350400450202475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.91.6
125.4123.9
Auto17.0
Teleop58.3
End48.6
red by 13.2
110.61.6
109.0110.6
Auto13.0
Teleop52.6
End45.0
Second
125
#2
94.31.6
95.994.3
Auto17.7
Teleop42.5
End34.1
blue by 6.3
95
#14
100.61.6
99.0100.6
Auto8.9
Teleop48.8
End43.0
Third
6529
#29
49.31.6
50.949.3
Auto6.3
Teleop30.3
End12.7
blue by 16.8
3958
#17
66.21.6
64.666.2
Auto7.9
Teleop31.8
End26.5