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Red261
21391.3
230104.1
130763.5
Blue210
556366.4
15564.1
95100.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196200150250300261210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#8
104.12.9
81.884.7
Auto16.2
Teleop45.9
End42.0
red by 3.5
95
#14
100.60.3
89.689.3
Auto8.9
Teleop48.8
End43.0
Second
213
#4
91.34.9
60.565.4
Auto8.3
Teleop36.8
End46.2
red by 24.9
5563
#18
66.40.3
47.847.5
Auto12.1
Teleop31.7
End22.6
Third
1307
#16
63.52.9
49.652.6
Auto7.2
Teleop33.9
End22.4
blue by 0.6
155
#24
64.10.4
47.547.2
Auto6.9
Teleop35.4
End21.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed