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Red50
652933.7
511258.1
549139.0
Blue315
346165.8
176128.9
34890.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125164010020030040050315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5112
#14
58.18.8
54.845.9
Auto8.8
Teleop36.0
End13.3
blue by 32.6
348
#1
90.71.1
66.767.8
Auto15.9
Teleop44.2
End30.5
Second
5491
#30
39.08.8
41.933.1
Auto5.8
Teleop26.9
End6.3
blue by 26.8
3461
#21
65.81.7
44.846.5
Auto10.6
Teleop35.0
End20.2
Third
6529
#32
33.78.8
27.819.0
Auto1.5
Teleop25.6
End6.7
red by 4.9
1761
#37
28.91.7
38.440.1
Auto8.3
Teleop11.4
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed