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Red155
584655.2
416972.7
15764.1
Blue120
192295.7
9740.9
615346.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271640100200300400155120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4169
#31
72.73.1
41.444.6
Auto7.4
Teleop33.0
End32.3
blue by 23.0
1922
#15
95.74.0
47.943.9
Auto8.5
Teleop36.8
End50.5
Second
157
#11
64.13.1
39.142.2
Auto8.9
Teleop26.0
End29.2
red by 17.2
6153
#29
46.94.0
57.353.3
Auto9.0
Teleop26.9
End11.1
Third
5846
#12
55.23.1
46.549.6
Auto5.8
Teleop24.3
End25.2
red by 14.3
97
#28
40.94.0
46.142.1
Auto6.8
Teleop19.8
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed