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Red145
476185.4
495468.3
8886.8
Blue255
12188.0
490882.7
15764.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180181100150200250300145255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#16
86.83.1
57.154.0
Auto6.6
Teleop31.3
End49.0
blue by 1.2
121
#2
88.09.3
71.280.5
Auto11.8
Teleop37.8
End38.5
Second
85.43.1
57.654.5
Auto11.1
Teleop38.1
End36.2
red by 2.7
4908
#24
82.75.6
56.962.4
Auto6.3
Teleop37.5
End38.8
Third
4954
#13
68.33.1
57.954.8
Auto3.3
Teleop33.4
End31.7
red by 4.2
157
#11
64.19.3
43.652.8
Auto8.9
Teleop26.0
End29.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed