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Red45
526535.8
615346.9
63015.0
Blue177
264870.7
175768.4
556342.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12612540608010014016018020045177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6153
#29
46.97.9
55.547.6
Auto9.0
Teleop26.9
End11.1
blue by 23.8
2648
#18
70.76.0
39.645.6
Auto5.4
Teleop39.4
End25.9
Second
5265
#38
35.87.9
46.838.9
Auto4.2
Teleop23.6
End8.0
blue by 32.5
68.46.0
46.652.6
Auto7.4
Teleop30.0
End31.0
Third
6301
#42
5.07.9
13.75.8
Auto-2.0
Teleop15.2
End-8.2
blue by 37.1
5563
#36
42.16.0
36.542.6
Auto6.2
Teleop24.5
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed