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Red65
15125.9
575274.2
176128.9
Blue275
78105.7
192295.7
547130.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154185010030040050065275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5752
#27
74.29.5
69.960.5
Auto5.1
Teleop29.2
End39.9
blue by 31.5
78
#4
105.75.2
90.495.6
Auto10.4
Teleop51.0
End44.3
Second
1761
#37
28.99.5
40.531.0
Auto8.3
Teleop11.4
End9.2
blue by 66.8
1922
#15
95.78.6
54.162.6
Auto8.5
Teleop36.8
End50.5
Third
151
#33
25.99.5
39.930.4
Auto3.8
Teleop16.8
End5.2
blue by 4.3
5471
#39
30.28.6
28.336.9
Auto6.8
Teleop17.5
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed