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Red235
17274.2
622459.8
495468.3
Blue195
490882.7
176128.9
78105.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184231100150250300350400235195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#26
74.24.3
65.669.9
Auto6.8
Teleop37.3
End30.1
blue by 31.5
78
#4
105.71.2
104.4103.2
Auto10.4
Teleop51.0
End44.3
Second
4954
#13
68.34.7
62.767.4
Auto3.3
Teleop33.4
End31.7
blue by 14.3
4908
#24
82.71.2
77.676.4
Auto6.3
Teleop37.5
End38.8
Third
6224
#23
59.84.3
53.557.8
Auto10.2
Teleop29.1
End20.5
red by 30.9
1761
#37
28.91.5
31.429.9
Auto8.3
Teleop11.4
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed