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Red305
393073.7
5887.0
1058105.3
Blue311
264896.4
172175.9
416998.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274286150200250300350400305311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#23
105.31.0
103.8104.8
Auto9.5
Teleop61.3
End34.5
red by 6.9
4169
#25
98.40.9
98.099.0
Auto9.9
Teleop35.8
End52.7
Second
58
#2
87.01.0
85.586.5
Auto8.2
Teleop35.6
End43.1
blue by 9.4
2648
#11
96.40.9
96.197.0
Auto8.0
Teleop45.7
End42.8
Third
3930
#21
73.71.0
72.373.2
Auto7.5
Teleop24.2
End42.1
blue by 2.2
75.90.9
75.676.5
Auto11.7
Teleop32.8
End31.4