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Red260
545971.7
490996.7
2084122.1
Blue448
5735116.6
24666.7
457277.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310256100200400500260448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122.10.7
120.8120.1
Auto13.0
Teleop50.9
End58.2
red by 5.5
116.62.2
113.1115.3
Auto10.8
Teleop50.6
End55.2
Second
96.70.7
95.494.7
Auto7.7
Teleop34.6
End54.4
red by 19.5
4572
#17
77.22.2
73.775.9
Auto7.1
Teleop34.9
End35.2
Third
5459
#24
71.70.7
70.469.7
Auto5.5
Teleop42.1
End24.1
red by 5.0
246
#6
66.72.2
63.265.4
Auto9.1
Teleop39.6
End18.0