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Red445
545971.7
490996.7
2084122.1
Blue285
5735116.6
24666.7
457277.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3112670100200400500600445285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122.11.3
121.4122.7
Auto13.0
Teleop50.9
End58.2
red by 5.5
116.60.6
116.0116.6
Auto10.8
Teleop50.6
End55.2
Second
96.71.3
96.097.3
Auto7.7
Teleop34.6
End54.4
red by 19.5
4572
#17
77.20.6
76.677.2
Auto7.1
Teleop34.9
End35.2
Third
5459
#24
71.71.3
71.072.3
Auto5.5
Teleop42.1
End24.1
red by 5.0
246
#6
66.70.6
66.166.7
Auto9.1
Teleop39.6
End18.0