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Red258
4761105.6
596258.7
1058105.3
Blue287
4906102.4
5735116.6
545971.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273250100150200300350400450258287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.60.1
102.5102.6
Auto13.9
Teleop49.3
End42.4
blue by 11.0
116.62.7
105.4108.1
Auto10.8
Teleop50.6
End55.2
Second
1058
#23
105.30.1
101.6101.7
Auto9.5
Teleop61.3
End34.5
red by 2.8
102.44.6
70.975.5
Auto7.6
Teleop42.3
End52.5
Third
5962
#32
58.70.2
52.552.7
Auto5.0
Teleop32.4
End21.3
blue by 13.1
5459
#24
71.72.7
64.767.4
Auto5.5
Teleop42.1
End24.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed