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Red195
512245.3
416998.4
169969.7
Blue206
431142.5
457277.2
13392.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2161860100300400195206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4169
#25
98.40.4
83.082.6
Auto9.9
Teleop35.8
End52.7
red by 5.8
133
#10
92.62.8
84.287.0
Auto11.7
Teleop42.9
End37.9
Second
1699
#30
69.70.7
49.648.9
Auto7.7
Teleop31.3
End30.8
blue by 7.5
4572
#17
77.21.7
54.055.7
Auto7.1
Teleop34.9
End35.2
Third
5122
#28
45.30.7
68.467.7
Auto6.6
Teleop23.6
End15.1
red by 2.8
4311
#39
42.52.8
42.545.3
Auto4.6
Teleop25.5
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed