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Red165
102768.9
172175.9
492951.6
Blue105
455542.3
512245.3
676237.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2211420100200300400165105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.92.3
77.875.6
Auto11.7
Teleop32.8
End31.4
red by 30.6
5122
#28
45.36.7
52.045.3
Auto6.6
Teleop23.6
End15.1
Second
1027
#18
68.92.3
67.365.0
Auto8.6
Teleop26.6
End33.7
red by 26.6
4555
#33
42.36.7
49.042.3
Auto3.6
Teleop18.6
End20.1
Third
4929
#35
51.62.3
53.951.6
Auto7.2
Teleop27.0
End17.5
red by 13.8
6762
#38
37.86.7
44.537.8
Auto5.9
Teleop26.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed