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Red305
102768.9
128978.9
176149.6
Blue280
1071101.6
4761105.6
555676.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1813220100400500600700305280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1289
#13
78.92.5
76.879.3
Auto10.1
Teleop39.2
End29.6
blue by 26.7
105.60.1
106.4106.2
Auto13.9
Teleop49.3
End42.4
Second
1027
#18
68.92.5
66.969.4
Auto8.6
Teleop26.6
End33.7
blue by 32.7
1071
#12
101.60.1
102.4102.3
Auto16.2
Teleop48.8
End36.6
Third
1761
#27
49.62.5
47.550.0
Auto13.2
Teleop21.8
End14.5
blue by 26.9
5556
#20
76.50.1
77.377.2
Auto4.4
Teleop37.8
End34.3