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Red255
102768.9
128978.9
176149.6
Blue280
1071101.6
4761105.6
555676.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1913200100400500600700255280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1289
#13
78.91.2
79.380.6
Auto10.1
Teleop39.2
End29.6
blue by 26.7
105.60.7
106.2105.5
Auto13.9
Teleop49.3
End42.4
Second
1027
#18
68.91.2
69.470.7
Auto8.6
Teleop26.6
End33.7
blue by 32.7
1071
#12
101.60.7
102.3101.6
Auto16.2
Teleop48.8
End36.6
Third
1761
#27
49.61.2
50.051.3
Auto13.2
Teleop21.8
End14.5
blue by 26.9
5556
#20
76.50.7
77.276.5
Auto4.4
Teleop37.8
End34.3