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Red345
199179.2
362395.5
237081.3
Blue343
19089.6
1519100.9
174076.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252281100150200300350400450345343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.51.7
91.192.8
Auto9.0
Teleop43.8
End42.7
blue by 5.4
100.91.2
99.9101.1
Auto15.2
Teleop43.6
End42.0
Second
2370
#21
81.31.7
76.878.5
Auto9.9
Teleop37.2
End34.2
blue by 8.3
190
#18
89.61.2
88.589.7
Auto13.8
Teleop41.8
End33.9
Third
1991
#12
79.21.7
74.876.5
Auto5.8
Teleop29.2
End44.2
red by 2.9
1740
#16
76.41.2
75.376.5
Auto10.2
Teleop37.2
End28.9