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Red322
199179.2
362395.5
237081.3
Blue226
19089.6
1519100.9
174076.4
36%Model gave it64%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262288150200350400450322226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.51.6
94.095.5
Auto9.0
Teleop43.8
End42.7
blue by 5.4
100.91.1
102.0100.9
Auto15.2
Teleop43.6
End42.0
Second
2370
#21
81.31.6
79.781.3
Auto9.9
Teleop37.2
End34.2
blue by 8.3
190
#18
89.61.1
90.789.6
Auto13.8
Teleop41.8
End33.9
Third
1991
#12
79.21.6
77.779.2
Auto5.8
Teleop29.2
End44.2
red by 2.9
1740
#16
76.41.1
77.576.4
Auto10.2
Teleop37.2
End28.9