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Red260
346659.9
490581.3
115380.2
Blue265
371972.6
234270.8
226270.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23222204006008001,000260265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.30.9
80.481.3
Auto8.1
Teleop35.7
End37.5
red by 8.7
72.61.2
72.273.4
Auto9.0
Teleop32.2
End31.4
Second
1153
#20
80.20.9
79.380.2
Auto11.1
Teleop33.3
End35.8
red by 9.4
70.81.2
70.471.5
Auto8.1
Teleop33.8
End28.9
Third
3466
#22
59.90.9
59.059.9
Auto8.2
Teleop26.3
End25.5
blue by 10.5
2262
#31
70.51.2
70.171.2
Auto7.7
Teleop30.4
End32.4