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Red255
83974.1
50177.5
581383.1
Blue335
2523102.8
404170.5
404862.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions240236180200220260280300320255335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#15
83.10.5
81.181.6
Auto5.2
Teleop57.7
End20.3
blue by 19.7
2523
#26
102.81.4
98.599.9
Auto9.7
Teleop46.3
End46.8
Second
501
#3
77.50.5
75.575.9
Auto11.4
Teleop29.9
End36.2
red by 7.0
70.51.4
66.267.6
Auto7.1
Teleop33.4
End30.0
Third
839
#27
74.10.5
72.072.5
Auto4.7
Teleop25.3
End44.0
red by 11.6
4048
#32
62.41.4
58.259.5
Auto5.6
Teleop35.1
End21.7