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Red165
346659.9
178678.3
127759.7
Blue195
1519100.9
362395.5
287763.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1192150300400500165195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1786
#19
78.34.4
49.754.1
Auto9.2
Teleop25.7
End43.5
blue by 22.6
100.90.1
95.895.9
Auto15.2
Teleop43.6
End42.0
Second
3466
#22
59.94.4
27.531.9
Auto8.2
Teleop26.3
End25.5
blue by 35.6
95.50.1
44.945.0
Auto9.0
Teleop43.8
End42.7
Third
1277
#30
59.74.4
48.052.4
Auto7.3
Teleop27.6
End24.8
blue by 3.7
2877
#28
63.40.1
53.253.3
Auto12.4
Teleop32.0
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed