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Red195
19089.6
66363.4
50177.5
Blue145
404862.4
287763.4
12652.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184177100150200250195145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#18
89.62.8
62.965.8
Auto13.8
Teleop41.8
End33.9
red by 26.1
2877
#28
63.42.7
63.961.2
Auto12.4
Teleop32.0
End19.1
Second
501
#3
77.52.8
47.450.2
Auto11.4
Teleop29.9
End36.2
red by 15.1
4048
#32
62.42.7
55.953.2
Auto5.6
Teleop35.1
End21.7
Third
663
#14
63.43.0
57.660.6
Auto7.1
Teleop33.6
End22.6
red by 11.4
126
#34
52.02.7
49.246.5
Auto7.4
Teleop26.8
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed