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Red216
242339.2
50177.5
1519100.9
Blue109
237081.3
199179.2
378037.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19018550100150250300350216109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.92.8
100.8103.6
Auto15.2
Teleop43.6
End42.0
red by 19.6
2370
#21
81.37.9
68.360.4
Auto9.9
Teleop37.2
End34.2
Second
501
#3
77.52.8
50.253.0
Auto11.4
Teleop29.9
End36.2
blue by 1.7
1991
#12
79.27.9
67.759.8
Auto5.8
Teleop29.2
End44.2
Third
2423
#10
39.23.3
30.733.9
Auto1.3
Teleop33.6
End4.3
red by 1.4
3780
#37
37.87.9
38.931.1
Auto3.4
Teleop22.1
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed