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Red190
596912.1
490581.3
234270.8
Blue116
174076.4
404862.4
498745.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1461720100200300400500190116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.30.2
73.673.3
Auto8.1
Teleop35.7
End37.5
red by 5.0
1740
#16
76.44.3
57.953.6
Auto10.2
Teleop37.2
End28.9
Second
70.80.3
55.855.6
Auto8.1
Teleop33.8
End28.9
red by 8.4
4048
#32
62.44.3
59.655.3
Auto5.6
Teleop35.1
End21.7
Third
5969
#40
12.10.3
13.613.3
Auto1.0
Teleop14.1
End-3.1
blue by 32.9
4987
#24
45.04.3
40.335.9
Auto7.7
Teleop32.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed