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Red215
404170.5
226270.5
346659.9
Blue202
490581.3
404862.4
199179.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167208050100250300350400215202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.55.0
62.967.9
Auto7.1
Teleop33.4
End30.0
blue by 10.9
81.30.6
73.373.9
Auto8.1
Teleop35.7
End37.5
Second
2262
#31
70.55.0
56.761.7
Auto7.7
Teleop30.4
End32.4
blue by 8.8
1991
#12
79.20.7
60.861.5
Auto5.8
Teleop29.2
End44.2
Third
3466
#22
59.95.0
43.548.5
Auto8.2
Teleop26.3
End25.5
blue by 2.5
4048
#32
62.40.7
55.356.0
Auto5.6
Teleop35.1
End21.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed