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Red245
61477.6
384100.7
284983.6
Blue173
22594.2
594568.5
88834.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3022350100200400500600245173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#9
100.72.5
102.199.6
Auto10.5
Teleop54.0
End36.2
red by 6.6
225
#11
94.25.6
107.4101.8
Auto20.9
Teleop46.7
End26.5
Second
83.62.5
88.285.6
Auto7.2
Teleop34.6
End41.7
red by 15.0
5945
#26
68.55.6
76.070.4
Auto8.9
Teleop21.9
End37.7
Third
614
#2
77.62.5
87.985.3
Auto5.9
Teleop30.4
End41.4
red by 43.1
888
#10
34.65.6
48.542.9
Auto6.8
Teleop15.5
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
15%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed44%Pressure oddsEarned