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Red195
463886.1
424277.1
394192.8
Blue211
68656.2
237799.3
379365.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275283150200250300350195211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3941
#17
92.84.7
97.792.9
Auto9.8
Teleop41.0
End42.0
blue by 6.5
99.33.5
103.6100.1
Auto13.2
Teleop43.6
End42.5
Second
4638
#18
86.14.7
87.983.1
Auto13.9
Teleop39.3
End32.9
red by 21.1
3793
#14
65.03.5
92.989.4
Auto1.9
Teleop32.4
End30.7
Third
4242
#13
77.14.7
80.675.9
Auto9.5
Teleop30.2
End37.4
red by 20.9
686
#12
56.23.5
67.363.8
Auto10.8
Teleop24.2
End21.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
12%Rotor oddsMissed8%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed