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Red245
191543.8
379382.3
445676.0
Blue285
284959.2
533872.2
138965.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions219167050100250300350400245285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.31.0
81.782.7
Auto6.5
Teleop29.1
End46.7
red by 10.0
5338
#12
72.22.6
61.664.3
Auto7.1
Teleop32.7
End32.4
Second
76.01.0
75.476.4
Auto4.9
Teleop37.4
End33.7
red by 10.8
1389
#13
65.22.6
56.659.3
Auto5.0
Teleop23.9
End36.4
Third
1915
#15
43.81.1
43.244.3
Auto4.1
Teleop20.1
End19.6
blue by 15.4
2849
#16
59.22.9
47.550.4
Auto8.1
Teleop35.5
End15.6