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Red185
191543.8
379382.3
445676.0
Blue246
284959.2
533872.2
138965.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2211770100300400500185246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.30.4
82.782.3
Auto6.5
Teleop29.1
End46.7
red by 10.0
5338
#12
72.21.6
64.365.9
Auto7.1
Teleop32.7
End32.4
Second
76.00.4
76.476.0
Auto4.9
Teleop37.4
End33.7
red by 10.8
1389
#13
65.21.6
59.360.9
Auto5.0
Teleop23.9
End36.4
Third
1915
#15
43.80.5
44.343.8
Auto4.1
Teleop20.1
End19.6
blue by 15.4
2849
#16
59.21.8
50.452.2
Auto8.1
Teleop35.5
End15.6