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Red125
191543.8
172766.4
556926.1
Blue190
111184.9
365040.7
524343.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions951530200300400500125190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1727
#28
66.40.2
28.628.8
Auto8.7
Teleop31.5
End26.2
blue by 18.5
1111
#17DQ
84.93.1
65.868.8
Auto7.6
Teleop42.6
End34.7
Second
1915
#15
43.80.2
45.745.8
Auto4.1
Teleop20.1
End19.6
red by 0.9
5243
#22
43.01.8
35.937.7
Auto7.3
Teleop27.3
End8.4
Third
5569
#36DQ
26.10.2
24.024.2
Auto4.5
Teleop21.9
End-0.3
blue by 14.6
3650
#20
40.73.1
35.938.9
Auto7.1
Teleop28.8
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed