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Red145
61477.4
451475.4
482127.5
Blue170
463863.2
291264.7
650430.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168117050200250300350400145170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#27
77.40.8
63.863.0
Auto6.5
Teleop32.8
End38.1
red by 12.7
2912
#11
64.72.4
48.951.4
Auto3.2
Teleop27.7
End33.9
Second
75.40.8
72.271.4
Auto6.6
Teleop30.2
End38.7
red by 12.2
63.22.4
38.540.9
Auto12.6
Teleop37.8
End12.8
Third
4821
#37
27.50.8
16.215.4
Auto6.0
Teleop19.7
End1.8
blue by 3.0
6504
#34
30.52.4
30.633.0
Auto2.0
Teleop19.6
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed