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Red50
406738.7
482127.5
463863.2
Blue145
409938.9
171948.1
451475.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14713605010020025030035040050145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.29.8
52.042.1
Auto12.6
Teleop37.8
End12.8
blue by 12.2
75.41.6
40.542.1
Auto6.6
Teleop30.2
End38.7
Second
4067
#31
38.79.8
43.834.0
Auto5.1
Teleop28.0
End5.6
blue by 9.4
1719
#24
48.11.6
48.750.3
Auto7.4
Teleop23.1
End17.6
Third
4821
#37
27.59.8
42.832.9
Auto6.0
Teleop19.7
End1.8
blue by 11.5
4099
#26
38.91.6
41.643.2
Auto3.5
Teleop26.4
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed