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Red110
338935.5
533872.2
171948.1
Blue255
463863.2
424292.4
409938.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127158050100200250300110255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#12
72.22.1
54.752.6
Auto7.1
Teleop32.7
End32.4
blue by 20.2
92.47.3
73.680.9
Auto10.9
Teleop37.1
End44.4
Second
1719
#24
48.12.1
42.840.7
Auto7.4
Teleop23.1
End17.6
blue by 15.1
63.211.3
37.648.9
Auto12.6
Teleop37.8
End12.8
Third
3389
#32
35.52.1
27.625.5
Auto8.3
Teleop20.3
End6.8
blue by 3.4
4099
#26
38.912.1
34.746.9
Auto3.5
Teleop26.4
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed