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Red195
328334.4
291264.7
291454.4
Blue165
111184.9
654341.8
171948.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132176050100150200250300350400195165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2912
#11
64.76.1
55.461.5
Auto3.2
Teleop27.7
End33.9
blue by 20.1
1111
#17
84.92.0
79.877.8
Auto7.6
Teleop42.6
End34.7
Second
2914
#14
54.44.2
51.555.7
Auto8.0
Teleop22.1
End24.3
red by 6.3
1719
#24
48.12.0
40.738.7
Auto7.4
Teleop23.1
End17.6
Third
3283
#33
34.46.1
24.930.9
Auto3.3
Teleop26.2
End4.9
blue by 7.3
6543
#30
41.81.4
40.539.1
Auto9.6
Teleop28.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed