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Red50
482127.5
296450.9
409938.9
Blue225
345562.5
445676.0
1885106.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10920505015025030035040050225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2964
#23
50.97.5
41.033.5
Auto5.0
Teleop27.8
End18.1
blue by 55.2
106.14.8
60.865.6
Auto12.6
Teleop47.8
End45.6
Second
4099
#26
38.97.5
43.235.7
Auto3.5
Teleop26.4
End9.0
blue by 37.1
76.02.9
70.473.3
Auto4.9
Teleop37.4
End33.7
Third
4821
#37
27.57.5
32.925.5
Auto6.0
Teleop19.7
End1.8
blue by 35.0
3455
#18
62.52.9
50.453.3
Auto5.6
Teleop31.5
End25.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed