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Red216
138965.2
533872.2
284959.2
Blue165
511576.5
451475.4
42255.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1912270100300400500600700800216165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#12
72.20.7
68.168.7
Auto7.1
Teleop32.7
End32.4
blue by 4.2
76.51.1
77.676.5
Auto9.5
Teleop35.4
End31.6
Second
1389
#13
65.20.7
63.163.7
Auto5.0
Teleop23.9
End36.4
blue by 10.2
75.41.0
76.475.4
Auto6.6
Teleop30.2
End38.7
Third
2849
#16
59.20.7
54.655.4
Auto8.1
Teleop35.5
End15.6
red by 4.1
422
#19
55.21.0
56.255.2
Auto5.6
Teleop21.6
End27.9