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Red165
242172.4
623981.8
44972.7
Blue306
454192.3
406771.9
2537100.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2022990100400500600700165306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.80.9
74.373.4
Auto8.2
Teleop30.1
End43.5
blue by 18.3
2537
#14
100.20.3
102.3101.9
Auto10.7
Teleop43.9
End45.5
Second
449
#30
72.70.9
65.264.3
Auto10.6
Teleop35.5
End26.6
blue by 19.6
4541
#11
92.30.3
94.494.1
Auto7.6
Teleop36.2
End48.5
Third
2421
#22
72.40.9
64.964.0
Auto9.8
Teleop33.0
End29.6
red by 0.5
4067
#10
71.90.3
74.073.7
Auto7.5
Teleop36.7
End27.6