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Red160
450570.0
68670.6
242172.4
Blue235
296478.9
447293.9
138984.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1612160100300400160235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2421
#22
72.40.0
55.655.6
Auto9.8
Teleop33.0
End29.6
blue by 21.5
93.92.5
77.379.7
Auto9.1
Teleop41.3
End43.5
Second
686
#20
70.60.0
41.841.7
Auto9.3
Teleop37.5
End23.8
blue by 14.3
1389
#13
84.92.5
67.269.6
Auto6.5
Teleop36.5
End41.9
Third
4505
#16
70.00.0
63.163.0
Auto11.9
Teleop33.8
End24.3
blue by 8.9
78.92.5
53.455.9
Auto8.8
Teleop32.2
End37.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed