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Red45
44972.7
68670.6
191548.0
Blue230
558792.9
451478.3
242172.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136231010020030040050045230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#30
72.77.2
54.547.3
Auto10.6
Teleop35.5
End26.6
blue by 20.2
92.90.8
73.672.8
Auto9.8
Teleop32.6
End50.5
Second
686
#20
70.66.5
43.937.4
Auto9.3
Teleop37.5
End23.8
blue by 7.7
4514
#18
78.30.8
75.474.7
Auto7.2
Teleop35.2
End35.9
Third
1915
#34
48.07.2
43.836.6
Auto5.2
Teleop23.1
End19.7
blue by 24.4
2421
#22
72.40.8
57.356.5
Auto9.8
Teleop33.0
End29.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed