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Red170
296160.6
242172.4
511594.1
Blue145
451478.3
172791.7
206828.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1951790100300400500170145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.10.9
78.477.5
Auto12.4
Teleop35.2
End46.5
red by 2.4
1727
#12
91.71.8
68.666.7
Auto12.5
Teleop37.1
End42.1
Second
2421
#22
72.40.9
55.654.7
Auto9.8
Teleop33.0
End29.6
blue by 5.8
4514
#18
78.31.8
81.279.4
Auto7.2
Teleop35.2
End35.9
Third
2961
#29
60.61.5
49.347.8
Auto4.6
Teleop24.0
End32.0
red by 32.2
2068
#39
28.41.8
22.720.9
Auto2.6
Teleop21.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed